Arkansas State Red Wolves 81, Arkansas Razorbacks 72
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Arkansas Razorbacks 81–72 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:52 swung win probability 30% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas Razorbacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 21 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 81 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 16 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:52 swung win probability 30% → 4%.
Why Arkansas Razorbacks lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 3:52 (win probability 30% → 4% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 29-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | Q2 3:52 | 30% → 4% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 10–0 | Q2 1:34 | 4% → 26% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q3 8:58 | 26% → 4% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 8–0 | Q3 1:09 | 1% → 11% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 9–0 | Q4 0:48 | 0% → 0% |