Nelson (TX) Lions 54, Abilene Christian Wildcats 112
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Abilene Christian Wildcats
Abilene Christian Wildcats defeated Nelson (TX) Lions 112–54 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 58-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:32 swung win probability 82% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nelson (TX) Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson (TX) Lions | 16 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 54 |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 25 | 31 | 24 | 32 | 112 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:32 swung win probability 82% → 97%.
Why Nelson (TX) Lions lost
- Lost Q2 11-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 21-0 run ending at Q4 6:34 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 38-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 9–0 | Q2 7:32 | 82% → 97% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 12–0 | Q2 1:39 | 98% → 100% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 8–0 | Q3 7:48 | 100% → 100% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 21–0 | Q4 6:34 | 100% → 100% |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 9–0 | Q4 0:36 | 100% → 100% |