UC San Diego Tritons 67, California Baptist Lancers 59
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-15 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated California Baptist Lancers 67–59 on 2025-12-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:31 swung win probability 72% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Baptist Lancers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 18 | 7 | 30 | 12 | 67 |
| California Baptist Lancers | 8 | 12 | 22 | 17 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:31 swung win probability 72% → 35%.
Why California Baptist Lancers lost
- Lost Q1 8-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 6:31 (win probability 72% → 35% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 47.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 10–0 | Q1 6:31 | 72% → 35% |
| California Baptist Lancers | 10–0 | Q2 3:54 | 15% → 50% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q3 4:12 | 20% → 2% |