Chapman Panthers 27, Loyola Marymount Lions 81
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Loyola Marymount Lions
Loyola Marymount Lions defeated Chapman Panthers 81–27 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 54-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:39 swung win probability 58% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chapman Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Panthers | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 18 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:39 swung win probability 58% → 86%.
Why Chapman Panthers lost
- Lost Q3 8-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q2 6:24 (win probability 79% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 29-16.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 9–0 | Q1 2:39 | 58% → 86% |
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 18–0 | Q2 6:24 | 79% → 100% |
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 11–0 | Q3 4:33 | 100% → 100% |
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 10–0 | Q4 8:45 | 100% → 100% |
| Loyola Marymount Lions | 10–0 | Q4 0:08 | 100% → 100% |