Cal State Northridge Matadors 63, Pepperdine Waves 69
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Pepperdine Waves
Pepperdine Waves defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 69–63 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:24 swung win probability 42% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 11 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 63 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 12 | 19 | 13 | 25 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:24 swung win probability 42% → 95%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost Q2 7-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 7:24 (win probability 42% → 95% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | Q1 2:29 | 75% → 45% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q2 1:59 | 85% → 98% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 11–0 | Q3 6:26 | 98% → 74% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 9–0 | Q4 7:24 | 42% → 95% |