Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 71, UC San Diego Tritons 68
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks defeated UC San Diego Tritons 71–68 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:30 swung win probability 4% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18 | 27 | 4 | 22 | 71 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 11 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:30 swung win probability 4% → 40%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Lost Q2 16-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 4:42 (win probability 23% → 3% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 10–0 | Q2 4:42 | 23% → 3% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 11–0 | Q3 5:30 | 4% → 40% |