Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 77, Cal State Northridge Matadors 56
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 77–56 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:55 swung win probability 62% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 77 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 11 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:55 swung win probability 62% → 31%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost Q3 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 4:51 (win probability 6% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 33.9% eFG vs a 45.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 35-25.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 8–0 | Q1 3:55 | 62% → 31% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 8–0 | Q2 0:53 | 16% → 2% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 10–0 | Q3 4:51 | 6% → 0% |