Le Moyne Dolphins 48, New Haven Chargers 40
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Le Moyne Dolphins
Le Moyne Dolphins defeated New Haven Chargers 48–40 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:02 swung win probability 88% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Haven Chargers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 8 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 48 |
| New Haven Chargers | 6 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 40 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:02 swung win probability 88% → 40%.
Why New Haven Chargers lost
- Lost Q4 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 5:02 (win probability 88% → 40% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 42.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 12-1 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 8–0 | Q1 0:59 | 75% → 44% |
| New Haven Chargers | 8–0 | Q3 8:33 | 54% → 88% |
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 10–0 | Q3 5:02 | 88% → 40% |