Iona Gaels 63, Merrimack Warriors 87
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Iona Gaels 87–63 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 24-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 78% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iona Gaels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 14 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 63 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 32 | 13 | 23 | 19 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 78% → 98%.
Why Iona Gaels lost
- Lost Q1 14-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 0:57 (win probability 78% → 98% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 12–0 | Q1 0:57 | 78% → 98% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 10–0 | Q2 0:12 | 98% → 100% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 9–0 | Q3 8:27 | 100% → 100% |
| Iona Gaels | 8–0 | Q3 4:14 | 100% → 100% |