Iona Gaels 48, Rider Broncs 40
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Iona Gaels
Iona Gaels defeated Rider Broncs 48–40 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:38 swung win probability 75% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rider Broncs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 12 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 48 |
| Rider Broncs | 6 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:38 swung win probability 75% → 24%.
Why Rider Broncs lost
- Lost Q1 6-12 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 8:38 (win probability 75% → 24% for the home side).
- Shot 34.0% eFG vs a 40.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 23-14.
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 13–0 | Q2 8:38 | 75% → 24% |
| Rider Broncs | 11–0 | Q3 8:30 | 19% → 69% |