Merrimack Warriors 51, Iona Gaels 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Iona Gaels
Iona Gaels defeated Merrimack Warriors 58–51 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:48 swung win probability 51% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Merrimack Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 6 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 51 |
| Iona Gaels | 15 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:48 swung win probability 51% → 91%.
Why Merrimack Warriors lost
- Lost Q1 6-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 0:48 (win probability 51% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 45.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 13–0 | Q1 0:48 | 51% → 91% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 9–0 | Q2 1:51 | 96% → 77% |