Montana Lady Griz 90, Tarleton State Texans 85
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Montana Lady Griz
Montana Lady Griz defeated Tarleton State Texans 90–85 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 3:18 swung win probability 80% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Lady Griz | 17 | 12 | 24 | 25 | 12 | 90 |
| Tarleton State Texans | 25 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 3:18 swung win probability 80% → 6%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost
- Lost Q4 16-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 6:24 (win probability 94% → 68% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-5.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 9–0 | Q1 0:00 | 58% → 86% |
| Montana Lady Griz | 9–0 | Q3 6:24 | 94% → 68% |
| Montana Lady Griz | 8–0 | OT 3:18 | 80% → 6% |