Siena Saints 60, Merrimack Warriors 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Siena Saints 79–60 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:43 swung win probability 62% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 10 | 16 | 24 | 10 | 60 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 29 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:43 swung win probability 62% → 86%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Lost Q1 10-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 1:45 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 42.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | Q1 5:43 | 62% → 86% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | Q1 3:21 | 78% → 94% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 11–0 | Q2 1:45 | 99% → 100% |