Merrimack Warriors 82, Siena Saints 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Siena Saints 82–65 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 64% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 18 | 15 | 21 | 28 | 82 |
| Siena Saints | 21 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 64% → 23%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Lost Q4 18-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 7:58 (win probability 82% → 47% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 42.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 9–0 | Q2 7:58 | 82% → 47% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 9–0 | Q2 2:55 | 64% → 23% |