Creighton Bluejays 73, Xavier Musketeers 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-01 · Winner: Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays defeated Xavier Musketeers 73–71 on 2026-03-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:54 swung win probability 97% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton Bluejays | 18 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 73 |
| Xavier Musketeers | 17 | 22 | 13 | 19 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:54 swung win probability 97% → 64%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost Q4 19-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 3:16 (win probability 98% → 74% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-10.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton Bluejays | 8–0 | Q1 7:25 | 55% → 26% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | Q1 4:34 | 26% → 54% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | Q2 8:41 | 45% → 76% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 9–0 | Q2 4:25 | 65% → 92% |
| Creighton Bluejays | 11–0 | Q3 3:16 | 98% → 74% |
| Creighton Bluejays | 8–0 | Q4 7:54 | 97% → 64% |