St. John's Red Storm 58, Butler Bulldogs 47
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Butler Bulldogs 58–47 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:08 swung win probability 53% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Butler Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 15 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 58 |
| Butler Bulldogs | 13 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 47 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:08 swung win probability 53% → 7%.
Why Butler Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q3 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 5:08 (win probability 53% → 7% for the home side).
- Shot 31.2% eFG vs a 48.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 19-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | Q3 5:08 | 53% → 7% |