Xavier Musketeers 50, Providence Friars 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-08 · Winner: Providence Friars
Providence Friars defeated Xavier Musketeers 66–50 on 2026-02-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:15 swung win probability 53% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 11 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 50 |
| Providence Friars | 17 | 12 | 19 | 18 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:15 swung win probability 53% → 91%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost Q1 11-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 8:15 (win probability 53% → 91% for the home side).
- Outscored 13-5 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars | 12–0 | Q2 8:15 | 53% → 91% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 11–0 | Q3 5:19 | 98% → 69% |