Xavier Musketeers 52, St. John's Red Storm 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Xavier Musketeers 71–52 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:53 swung win probability 33% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 17 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 52 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 14 | 15 | 16 | 26 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:53 swung win probability 33% → 78%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost Q3 6-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 6:53 (win probability 33% → 78% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
- Outscored 14-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 9–0 | Q3 6:53 | 33% → 78% |