St. John's Red Storm 62, Providence Friars 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Providence Friars 62–57 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:48 swung win probability 73% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Providence Friars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 20 | 16 | 21 | 5 | 62 |
| Providence Friars | 19 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:48 swung win probability 73% → 25%.
Why Providence Friars lost
- Lost Q3 7-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 9:48 (win probability 73% → 25% for the home side).
- Shot 35.3% eFG vs a 42.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 8–0 | Q1 0:30 | 69% → 36% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | Q3 9:48 | 73% → 25% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 9–0 | Q3 5:18 | 33% → 3% |
| Providence Friars | 8–0 | Q4 1:40 | 0% → 0% |