Xavier Musketeers 39, UConn Huskies 97
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies defeated Xavier Musketeers 97–39 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 58-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:50 swung win probability 49% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 17 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 39 |
| UConn Huskies | 22 | 21 | 31 | 23 | 97 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:50 swung win probability 49% → 79%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost Q3 7-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q2 3:38 (win probability 76% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.0% eFG vs a 44.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 34-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UConn Huskies | 8–0 | Q1 1:50 | 49% → 79% |
| UConn Huskies | 16–0 | Q2 3:38 | 76% → 100% |
| UConn Huskies | 15–0 | Q3 5:32 | 100% → 100% |
| UConn Huskies | 10–0 | Q3 1:57 | 100% → 100% |
| UConn Huskies | 12–0 | Q4 6:35 | 100% → 100% |