Butler Bulldogs 39, St. John's Red Storm 49
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Butler Bulldogs 49–39 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:30 swung win probability 57% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Butler Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler Bulldogs | 11 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 14 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:30 swung win probability 57% → 90%.
Why Butler Bulldogs lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 5:30 (win probability 57% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 32.1% eFG vs a 48.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | Q2 5:30 | 57% → 90% |
| Butler Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q2 2:10 | 90% → 64% |