Xavier Musketeers 50, Villanova Wildcats 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Xavier Musketeers 67–50 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:15 swung win probability 53% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 11 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 50 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:15 swung win probability 53% → 93%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost Q2 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 7:15 (win probability 53% → 93% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 13–0 | Q2 7:15 | 53% → 93% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | Q3 2:50 | 99% → 90% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 1:03 | 100% → 100% |