St. John's Red Storm 43, UConn Huskies 88
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies defeated St. John's Red Storm 88–43 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 45-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:29 swung win probability 81% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. John's Red Storm lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 9 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 43 |
| UConn Huskies | 28 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:29 swung win probability 81% → 98%.
Why St. John's Red Storm lost
- Lost Q1 9-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 1:13 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.9% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 33-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UConn Huskies | 12–0 | Q1 5:29 | 81% → 98% |
| UConn Huskies | 8–0 | Q1 1:10 | 94% → 99% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 8–0 | Q2 6:09 | 99% → 96% |
| UConn Huskies | 15–0 | Q2 1:13 | 96% → 100% |
| UConn Huskies | 10–0 | Q3 0:32 | 100% → 100% |