Villanova Wildcats 69, Marquette Golden Eagles 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Marquette Golden Eagles
Marquette Golden Eagles defeated Villanova Wildcats 85–69 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:35 swung win probability 55% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Villanova Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 14 | 22 | 9 | 24 | 69 |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 23 | 19 | 19 | 24 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:35 swung win probability 55% → 86%.
Why Villanova Wildcats lost
- Lost Q3 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 5:35 (win probability 55% → 86% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 10–0 | Q1 5:35 | 55% → 86% |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 8–0 | Q2 1:01 | 68% → 93% |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 9–0 | Q3 5:12 | 93% → 100% |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 7:18 | 99% → 100% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 2:43 | 100% → 100% |