St. John's Red Storm 48, Villanova Wildcats 85
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated St. John's Red Storm 85–48 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 37-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:27 swung win probability 88% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. John's Red Storm lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 12 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 31 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:27 swung win probability 88% → 98%.
Why St. John's Red Storm lost
- Lost Q1 12-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 4:07 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.9% eFG vs a 49.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 1:27 | 88% → 98% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 15–0 | Q2 4:07 | 98% → 100% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 10–0 | Q4 5:15 | 100% → 100% |