USC Trojans 82, Penn State Lady Lions 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Penn State Lady Lions
Penn State Lady Lions defeated USC Trojans 85–82 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:11 swung win probability 8% → 49%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 26 | 20 | 13 | 23 | 82 |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 24 | 15 | 19 | 27 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:11 swung win probability 8% → 49%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Lost Q3 13-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 0:11 (win probability 8% → 49% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Lady Lions | 8–0 | Q2 1:34 | 15% → 44% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 9–0 | Q3 0:11 | 8% → 49% |