Northwestern Wildcats 68, Michigan State Spartans 104
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Northwestern Wildcats 104–68 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 36-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:32 swung win probability 55% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern Wildcats | 14 | 14 | 22 | 18 | 68 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 23 | 32 | 23 | 26 | 104 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:32 swung win probability 55% → 83%.
Why Northwestern Wildcats lost
- Lost Q2 14-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 1:43 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-5.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 9–0 | Q1 7:32 | 55% → 83% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | Q2 6:31 | 87% → 98% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 10–0 | Q2 1:43 | 99% → 100% |