Michigan State Spartans 65, Michigan Wolverines 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Michigan State Spartans 86–65 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:28 swung win probability 47% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 21 | 9 | 20 | 15 | 65 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 15 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:28 swung win probability 47% → 90%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Lost Q2 9-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 4:28 (win probability 47% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 49.0% eFG vs a 53.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 12–0 | Q2 4:28 | 47% → 90% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 10–0 | Q4 4:18 | 100% → 100% |