Michigan State Spartans 81, Penn State Lady Lions 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Penn State Lady Lions 81–70 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 20-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:10 swung win probability 99% → 16%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Lady Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 13 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 81 |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 28 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:10 swung win probability 99% → 16%.
Why Penn State Lady Lions lost
- Lost Q3 7-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at Q4 9:10 (win probability 99% → 16% for the home side).
- Outscored 16-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Lady Lions | 12–0 | Q1 3:38 | 58% → 92% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 20–0 | Q4 9:10 | 99% → 16% |