Maryland Terrapins 86, Michigan State Spartans 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Maryland Terrapins
Maryland Terrapins defeated Michigan State Spartans 86–70 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:39 swung win probability 64% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Terrapins | 20 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 86 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 20 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:39 swung win probability 64% → 27%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Lost Q2 13-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 2:39 (win probability 64% → 27% for the home side).
- Shot 47.4% eFG vs a 53.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | Q2 6:47 | 52% → 82% |
| Maryland Terrapins | 8–0 | Q2 2:39 | 64% → 27% |
| Maryland Terrapins | 8–0 | Q3 5:20 | 22% → 2% |