Michigan Wolverines 94, Michigan State Spartans 91
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-01 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Michigan State Spartans 94–91 on 2026-02-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at OT 2:23 swung win probability 74% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 25 | 16 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 94 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 22 | 20 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at OT 2:23 swung win probability 74% → 0%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at OT 2:23 (win probability 74% → 0% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q1 0:58 | 75% → 47% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 9–0 | Q3 7:15 | 64% → 23% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 10–0 | OT 2:23 | 74% → 0% |