Michigan State Spartans 86, Purdue Boilermakers 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Purdue Boilermakers 86–65 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:06 swung win probability 50% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Purdue Boilermakers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 29 | 21 | 23 | 13 | 86 |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 15 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:06 swung win probability 50% → 10%.
Why Purdue Boilermakers lost
- Lost Q1 15-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 1:06 (win probability 50% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 45.0% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 12–0 | Q1 1:06 | 50% → 10% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 9–0 | Q3 8:00 | 1% → 0% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | Q3 3:04 | 0% → 0% |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 10–0 | Q4 3:16 | 0% → 0% |