Iowa Hawkeyes 69, USC Trojans 81
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: USC Trojans
USC Trojans defeated Iowa Hawkeyes 81–69 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:02 swung win probability 69% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa Hawkeyes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 13 | 24 | 14 | 18 | 69 |
| USC Trojans | 28 | 15 | 27 | 11 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:02 swung win probability 69% → 97%.
Why Iowa Hawkeyes lost
- Lost Q1 13-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 0:02 (win probability 69% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 45.5% eFG vs a 53.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 13–0 | Q1 0:02 | 69% → 97% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | Q2 1:54 | 96% → 77% |
| USC Trojans | 11–0 | Q3 2:48 | 74% → 99% |
| USC Trojans | 10–0 | Q4 9:02 | 99% → 100% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 9–0 | Q4 0:48 | 100% → 100% |