Illinois Fighting Illini 69, Michigan Wolverines 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 85–69 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:20 swung win probability 69% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois Fighting Illini lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 13 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 69 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 27 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:20 swung win probability 69% → 90%.
Why Illinois Fighting Illini lost
- Lost Q1 13-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 3:27 (win probability 82% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q1 6:20 | 69% → 90% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 10–0 | Q1 0:01 | 75% → 96% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 11–0 | Q3 5:34 | 99% → 82% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 13–0 | Q3 3:27 | 82% → 100% |