USC Trojans 62, Minnesota Golden Gophers 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Minnesota Golden Gophers
Minnesota Golden Gophers defeated USC Trojans 63–62 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 19-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:15 swung win probability 91% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 10 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 62 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 18 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 19-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:15 swung win probability 91% → 20%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Lost Q1 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 1:06 (win probability 6% → 63% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-6.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8–0 | Q1 6:21 | 69% → 90% |
| USC Trojans | 19–0 | Q2 3:15 | 91% → 20% |
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | Q3 8:33 | 39% → 8% |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 14–0 | Q3 1:06 | 6% → 63% |