Iowa Hawkeyes 56, Indiana Hoosiers 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes defeated Indiana Hoosiers 56–53 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 78% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Indiana Hoosiers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8 | 11 | 19 | 18 | 56 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 20 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 78% → 0%.
Why Indiana Hoosiers lost
- Lost Q3 4-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 1:44 (win probability 99% → 50% for the home side).
- Shot 38.5% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers | 10–0 | Q1 3:13 | 62% → 90% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 8–0 | Q2 0:03 | 89% → 99% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 17–0 | Q3 1:44 | 99% → 50% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | Q4 0:05 | 78% → 0% |