Michigan Wolverines 105, Penn State Lady Lions 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Penn State Lady Lions 105–65 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 40-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:48 swung win probability 58% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Lady Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 25 | 33 | 23 | 24 | 105 |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 11 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:48 swung win probability 58% → 6%.
Why Penn State Lady Lions lost
- Lost Q1 11-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q1 2:48 (win probability 58% → 6% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-9.
- Outscored 25-10 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 17–0 | Q1 2:48 | 58% → 6% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q2 0:03 | 1% → 0% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 12–0 | Q3 3:08 | 0% → 0% |