Minnesota Golden Gophers 60, Michigan Wolverines 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-05 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Minnesota Golden Gophers 70–60 on 2026-01-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:44 swung win probability 15% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Minnesota Golden Gophers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 19 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 60 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 10 | 18 | 16 | 26 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:44 swung win probability 15% → 64%.
Why Minnesota Golden Gophers lost
- Lost Q4 17-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 3:44 (win probability 15% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 43.9% eFG vs a 50.0% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8–0 | Q1 5:37 | 78% → 50% |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 9–0 | Q2 9:05 | 49% → 15% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 13–0 | Q2 3:44 | 15% → 64% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q3 7:52 | 30% → 69% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 9–0 | Q4 7:29 | 49% → 97% |