Penn State Lady Lions 73, Wisconsin Badgers 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers defeated Penn State Lady Lions 74–73 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:12 swung win probability 4% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Lady Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Lady Lions | 16 | 22 | 25 | 10 | 73 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 20 | 20 | 15 | 19 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:12 swung win probability 4% → 100%.
Why Penn State Lady Lions lost
- Lost Q4 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 1:12 (win probability 4% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers | 8–0 | Q2 9:16 | 61% → 87% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 8–0 | Q2 6:29 | 91% → 68% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 8–0 | Q3 9:45 | 89% → 59% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 9–0 | Q3 4:59 | 37% → 83% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 11–0 | Q3 2:30 | 83% → 21% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 14–0 | Q4 1:12 | 4% → 100% |