USC Trojans 46, UCLA Bruins 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins defeated USC Trojans 80–46 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 34-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:15 swung win probability 64% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why USC Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 16 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 46 |
| UCLA Bruins | 16 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:15 swung win probability 64% → 98%.
Why USC Trojans lost
- Lost Q2 12-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 1:15 (win probability 64% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 33.3% eFG vs a 46.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | Q1 6:34 | 52% → 78% |
| UCLA Bruins | 14–0 | Q2 1:15 | 64% → 98% |
| UCLA Bruins | 8–0 | Q3 3:48 | 100% → 100% |