Michigan Wolverines 92, Oregon Ducks 87
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines defeated Oregon Ducks 92–87 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 3:07 swung win probability 80% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Oregon Ducks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 21 | 23 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 92 |
| Oregon Ducks | 10 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at OT2 3:07 swung win probability 80% → 3%.
Why Oregon Ducks lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at OT2 3:07 (win probability 80% → 3% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 28-6.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q2 8:43 | 38% → 14% |
| Oregon Ducks | 8–0 | Q3 6:35 | 9% → 30% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 9–0 | OT2 3:07 | 80% → 3% |