Rutgers Scarlet Knights 64, Michigan State Spartans 70
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Rutgers Scarlet Knights 70–64 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:17 swung win probability 40% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15 | 12 | 22 | 15 | 64 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 15 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:17 swung win probability 40% → 87%.
Why Rutgers Scarlet Knights lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 5:40 (win probability 61% → 93% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-12.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 11–0 | Q2 5:40 | 61% → 93% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 9–0 | Q3 3:17 | 40% → 87% |