Penn State Lady Lions 76, Iowa Hawkeyes 99
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes defeated Penn State Lady Lions 99–76 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:26 swung win probability 58% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Penn State Lady Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Lady Lions | 14 | 23 | 15 | 24 | 76 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 29 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:26 swung win probability 58% → 96%.
Why Penn State Lady Lions lost
- Lost Q1 14-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q1 3:26 (win probability 58% → 96% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-14.
- Outscored 17-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 16–0 | Q1 3:26 | 58% → 96% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | Q2 8:33 | 95% → 100% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 8–0 | Q2 7:06 | 100% → 96% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | Q3 0:31 | 100% → 100% |
| Penn State Lady Lions | 9–0 | Q4 5:51 | 100% → 100% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 8–0 | Q4 1:33 | 100% → 100% |