Rust Bearcats 63, Memphis Tigers 107
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers defeated Rust Bearcats 107–63 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 44-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:51 swung win probability 52% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rust Bearcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rust Bearcats | 22 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 63 |
| Memphis Tigers | 24 | 23 | 30 | 30 | 107 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:51 swung win probability 52% → 95%.
Why Rust Bearcats lost
- Lost Q4 10-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 3:51 (win probability 52% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 35-23.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | 14–0 | Q2 3:51 | 52% → 95% |
| Rust Bearcats | 8–0 | Q3 7:09 | 99% → 91% |
| Memphis Tigers | 8–0 | Q3 5:16 | 89% → 99% |
| Memphis Tigers | 14–0 | Q4 2:40 | 100% → 100% |
| Memphis Tigers | 10–0 | Q4 0:43 | 100% → 100% |