Rochester Christian Warriors 86, Detroit Mercy Titans 80
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Rochester Christian Warriors
Rochester Christian Warriors defeated Detroit Mercy Titans 86–80 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 92% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Detroit Mercy Titans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochester Christian Warriors | 19 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 86 |
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 19 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 92% → 0%.
Why Detroit Mercy Titans lost
- Lost Q3 18-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 0:05 (win probability 92% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Outscored 15-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rochester Christian Warriors | 8–0 | Q3 4:47 | 73% → 29% |
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 8–0 | Q4 8:13 | 17% → 71% |
| Rochester Christian Warriors | 12–0 | Q4 0:05 | 92% → 0% |