UNC Wilmington Seahawks 54, Elon Phoenix 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Elon Phoenix
Elon Phoenix defeated UNC Wilmington Seahawks 66–54 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:13 swung win probability 96% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 9 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 54 |
| Elon Phoenix | 20 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:13 swung win probability 96% → 64%.
Why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost
- Lost Q1 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 3:35 (win probability 69% → 94% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-4.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Phoenix | 11–0 | Q1 3:35 | 69% → 94% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 9–0 | Q3 3:37 | 96% → 69% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 8–0 | Q4 8:13 | 96% → 64% |