UNC Wilmington Seahawks 46, North Carolina A&T Aggies 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: North Carolina A&T Aggies
North Carolina A&T Aggies defeated UNC Wilmington Seahawks 55–46 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:44 swung win probability 25% → 60%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 19 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 46 |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 10 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:44 swung win probability 25% → 60%.
Why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost
- Lost Q2 6-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 5:44 (win probability 25% → 60% for the home side).
- Shot 34.8% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 9–0 | Q1 6:46 | 72% → 39% |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 8–0 | Q1 1:37 | 54% → 23% |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 9–0 | Q2 5:44 | 25% → 60% |