Elon Phoenix 59, William & Mary Tribe 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: William & Mary Tribe
William & Mary Tribe defeated Elon Phoenix 70–59 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:36 swung win probability 93% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Elon Phoenix lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Phoenix | 9 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 59 |
| William & Mary Tribe | 20 | 17 | 11 | 22 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:36 swung win probability 93% → 72%.
Why Elon Phoenix lost
- Lost Q1 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 6:47 (win probability 89% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 38.4% eFG vs a 44.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 9–0 | Q1 6:33 | 72% → 93% |
| Elon Phoenix | 9–0 | Q1 3:36 | 93% → 72% |
| William & Mary Tribe | 8–0 | Q1 0:29 | 72% → 92% |
| William & Mary Tribe | 11–0 | Q2 6:47 | 89% → 99% |
| Elon Phoenix | 8–0 | Q3 9:47 | 100% → 97% |