Monmouth Hawks 56, Towson Tigers 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-16 · Winner: Monmouth Hawks
Monmouth Hawks defeated Towson Tigers 56–53 on 2026-01-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:24 swung win probability 16% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Towson Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks | 15 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 56 |
| Towson Tigers | 8 | 16 | 19 | 10 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:24 swung win probability 16% → 63%.
Why Towson Tigers lost
- Lost Q1 8-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 0:44 (win probability 69% → 26% for the home side).
- Shot 27.0% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks | 11–0 | Q1 0:44 | 69% → 26% |
| Towson Tigers | 9–0 | Q3 3:24 | 16% → 63% |