William & Mary Tribe 43, Campbell Fighting Camels 45
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Campbell Fighting Camels
Campbell Fighting Camels defeated William & Mary Tribe 45–43 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:23 swung win probability 42% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why William & Mary Tribe lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 7 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 43 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels | 7 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 45 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:23 swung win probability 42% → 83%.
Why William & Mary Tribe lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 4:23 (win probability 42% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 26.2% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell Fighting Camels | 10–0 | Q2 4:23 | 42% → 83% |